Alexander Volkov vs Alistair Overeem
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
40-11-0Record47-19-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'4"
80"ReachTBD
258 lbsWeight256 lbs
Strela TeamTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Alexander Volkov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Alistair Overeem carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1840
If they lose-14→ 1816
If they win+14→ 1774
If they lose-10→ 1750
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1748 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1729 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander VolkovAlistair Overeem
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Volkov78%
Alistair Overeem 22%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Volkov a 78% favorite over Alistair Overeem in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Alexander Volkov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1760, a 70-point edge.
Alexander Volkov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alexander Volkov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Alistair Overeem 89%.
Alexander Volkov and Alistair Overeem share 2 common opponents: Sergei Pavlovich and Jairzinho Rozenstruik.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.