Alexander Volkov vs Curtis Blaydes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
40-11-0Record19-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'4"
80"Reach80"
258 lbsWeight256 lbs
Strela TeamTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Alexander Volkov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Curtis Blaydes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1840
If they lose-14→ 1816
If they win+14→ 1782
If they lose-10→ 1758
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1748 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander VolkovCurtis Blaydes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Volkov62%
Curtis Blaydes 38%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Volkov a 62% favorite over Curtis Blaydes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Alexander Volkov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1768, a 62-point edge.
Alexander Volkov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alexander Volkov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Curtis Blaydes 68%.
Alexander Volkov and Curtis Blaydes share 4 common opponents: Jailton Almeida, Sergei Pavlovich, Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Tom Aspinall.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.