Alexander Volkov vs Fabrício Werdum
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
40-11-0Record24-10-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'4"
80"Reach45,0"
258 lbsWeight246 lbs
Strela TeamTeamWerdum Combat Team
What's at stake
Alexander Volkov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Fabrício Werdum carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1841
If they lose-13→ 1817
If they win+13→ 1816
If they lose-11→ 1792
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1748 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1725 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander VolkovFabrício Werdum
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Volkov70%
Fabrício Werdum 30%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Volkov a 70% favorite over Fabrício Werdum in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Alexander Volkov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1803, a 27-point edge.
Alexander Volkov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alexander Volkov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Fabrício Werdum 75%.
Alexander Volkov and Fabrício Werdum share 1 common opponent: Marcin Tybura.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.