Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Volkov vs Fedor Emelianenko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

40-11-0Record40-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'0"
80"ReachTBD
258 lbsWeight237 lbs
Strela TeamTeamFedorTeam

What's at stake

Fedor Emelianenko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alexander Volkov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexander VolkovNow 1830
If they win+13→ 1843
If they lose-11→ 1819
Fedor EmelianenkoNow 1861
If they win+11→ 1872
If they lose-13→ 1848

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1748 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.78
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
58%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
0.57
Takedown avg.
TBD
67%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
69%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.23
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alexander VolkovFedor Emelianenko
1800185020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

24 (60%)
KO/TKO
16 (40%)
4 (10%)
Submission
15 (38%)
12 (30%)
Decision
9 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Volkov70%
Fedor Emelianenko 30%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Volkov a 70% favorite over Fedor Emelianenko in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fedor Emelianenko's way (46%).

Fedor Emelianenko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1861 to 1830, a 31-point edge.

Alexander Volkov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alexander Volkov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Fedor Emelianenko 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.