Alexander Volkov vs Francis Ngannou
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
40-11-0Record18-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'4"
80"Reach83"
258 lbsWeight257 lbs
Strela TeamTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1842
If they lose-12→ 1818
If they win+16→ 1855
If they lose-16→ 1823
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1748 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1746 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander VolkovFrancis Ngannou
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francis Ngannou63%
Alexander Volkov 37%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Francis Ngannou a 63% favorite over Alexander Volkov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1830 vs 1839), separated by just 9 points.
Alexander Volkov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Francis Ngannou enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Alexander Volkov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Francis Ngannou 95%.
Alexander Volkov and Francis Ngannou share 2 common opponents: Ciryl Gane and Jairzinho Rozenstruik.
Francis Ngannou carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.