Alexander Volkov vs Greg Hardy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
40-11-0Record7-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'5"
80"Reach80"
258 lbsWeight266 lbs
Strela TeamTeamSkills Sport & Fitness
What's at stake
Alexander Volkov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Greg Hardy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+5→ 1835
If they lose-19→ 1811
If they win+25→ 1629
If they lose-7→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1748 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander VolkovGreg Hardy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Volkov88%
Greg Hardy 12%Elo baseline: 79%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Volkov a 88% favorite over Greg Hardy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).
Alexander Volkov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1604, a 226-point edge.
Alexander Volkov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Greg Hardy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alexander Volkov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Greg Hardy 86%.
Alexander Volkov and Greg Hardy share 2 common opponents: Tai Tuivasa and Marcin Tybura.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.