Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Volkov vs Jailton Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

40-11-0Record22-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'4"
80"Reach79"
258 lbsWeight241 lbs
Strela TeamTeamGalpao da Luta

What's at stake

Alexander Volkov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jailton Almeida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexander VolkovNow 1830
If they win+10→ 1840
If they lose-14→ 1816
Jailton AlmeidaNow 1771
If they win+19→ 1790
If they lose-13→ 1758

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1748 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1717 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.78
Sig. strikes / min
2.25
58%
Strike accuracy
66%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.02
54%
Strike defense
36%
0.57
Takedown avg.
6.66
67%
Takedown accuracy
63%
69%
Takedown defense
60%
0.23
Submission avg.
1.98

Trajectory

Alexander VolkovJailton Almeida
175018001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

24 (60%)
KO/TKO
8 (36%)
4 (10%)
Submission
13 (59%)
12 (30%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Volkov62%
Jailton Almeida 38%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Volkov a 62% favorite over Jailton Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Alexander Volkov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1771, a 59-point edge.

Alexander Volkov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jailton Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexander Volkov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Jailton Almeida 95%.

Alexander Volkov and Jailton Almeida share 2 common opponents: Alexandr Romanov and Jairzinho Rozenstruik.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinKO/TKO · 2023
Alexandr Romanov
WinSubmission · 2024
WinTKO · 2022
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
WinSubmission · 2023