Alexander Volkov vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
40-11-0Record15-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'2"
80"Reach 78"
258 lbsWeight259 lbs
Strela TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Alexander Volkov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jairzinho Rozenstruik carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1838
If they lose-16→ 1814
If they win+22→ 1725
If they lose-10→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1748 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1726 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander VolkovJairzinho Rozenstruik
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Volkov78%
Jairzinho Rozenstruik 22%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Volkov a 78% favorite over Jairzinho Rozenstruik in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Alexander Volkov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1703, a 127-point edge.
Alexander Volkov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alexander Volkov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Jairzinho Rozenstruik 87%.
Alexander Volkov and Jairzinho Rozenstruik share 4 common opponents: Jailton Almeida, Ciryl Gane, Sergei Pavlovich and Tai Tuivasa.
Alexander Volkov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.