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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Volkov vs Jon Jones

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jon Jones
us

Jon Jones

“Bones”

28-1-0HeavyweightUFC

1906Elite

Tale of the tape

40-11-0Record28-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'4"
80"Reach84"
258 lbsWeight248 lbs
Strela TeamTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

Jon Jones is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Alexander Volkov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexander VolkovNow 1829
If they win+15→ 1844
If they lose-9→ 1820
Jon JonesNow 1906
If they win+9→ 1915
If they lose-15→ 1891

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1748 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1762 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.84
Sig. strikes / min
4.38
58%
Strike accuracy
59%
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.24
54%
Strike defense
64%
0.54
Takedown avg.
1.89
31%
Takedown accuracy
46%
69%
Takedown defense
95%
0.22
Submission avg.
0.46

Trajectory

Alexander VolkovJon Jones
180018501900202420252026

Win method breakdown

24 (60%)
KO/TKO
11 (39%)
4 (10%)
Submission
7 (25%)
12 (30%)
Decision
10 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Jon Jones55%
Alexander Volkov 45%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Jon Jones a 55% favorite over Alexander Volkov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Jon Jones holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1906 to 1829, a 77-point edge.

Alexander Volkov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jon Jones enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Alexander Volkov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Jon Jones 64%.

Alexander Volkov and Jon Jones share 1 common opponent: Ciryl Gane.

Jon Jones carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (split) · 2024
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2021
Ciryl Gane
WinSubmission (Guillotine Choke) · 2023