Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Volkov vs Mirko Filipović

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

40-11-0Record38-11-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'2"
80"Reach73"
258 lbsWeight234 lbs
Strela TeamTeamCro Cop Top Team

What's at stake

Alexander Volkov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mirko Filipović carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexander VolkovNow 1830
If they win+11→ 1841
If they lose-13→ 1817
Mirko FilipovićNow 1809
If they win+13→ 1822
If they lose-11→ 1798

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1748 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.84
Sig. strikes / min
2.11
58%
Strike accuracy
51%
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.89
54%
Strike defense
64%
0.54
Takedown avg.
0.19
31%
Takedown accuracy
40%
69%
Takedown defense
78%
0.22
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Alexander VolkovMirko Filipović
1750180018502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

24 (60%)
KO/TKO
30 (79%)
4 (10%)
Submission
4 (11%)
12 (30%)
Decision
4 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Volkov63%
Mirko Filipović 37%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Volkov a 63% favorite over Mirko Filipović in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Alexander Volkov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1809, a 21-point edge.

Alexander Volkov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mirko Filipović enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Alexander Volkov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Mirko Filipović 89%.

Alexander Volkov carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.