Alexander Volkov vs Sergei Pavlovich
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
40-11-0Record21-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'3"
80"Reach84"
258 lbsWeight260 lbs
Strela TeamTeamEagles MMA· 1817 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Alexander Volkov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Sergei Pavlovich carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1841
If they lose-13→ 1817
If they win+17→ 1826
If they lose-15→ 1794
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1748 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1730 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander VolkovSergei Pavlovich
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergei Pavlovich70%
Alexander Volkov 30%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergei Pavlovich a 70% favorite over Alexander Volkov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Volkov's way (47%).
Alexander Volkov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1809, a 21-point edge.
Alexander Volkov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Sergei Pavlovich enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alexander Volkov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Sergei Pavlovich 76%.
Alexander Volkov and Sergei Pavlovich share 4 common opponents: Waldo Cortes-Acosta, Tai Tuivasa, Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Tom Aspinall.
Sergei Pavlovich carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.