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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Volkov vs Stefan Struve

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

40-11-0Record29-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height7'0"
80"Reach84,5"
258 lbsWeight265 lbs
Strela TeamTeamTeam Schrijber

What's at stake

Alexander Volkov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Stefan Struve carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexander VolkovNow 1829
If they win+7→ 1836
If they lose-17→ 1812
Stefan StruveNow 1663
If they win+17→ 1680
If they lose-7→ 1656

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1748 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.84
Sig. strikes / min
3.12
58%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.04
54%
Strike defense
47%
0.54
Takedown avg.
0.56
31%
Takedown accuracy
47%
69%
Takedown defense
56%
0.22
Submission avg.
1.68

Trajectory

Alexander VolkovStefan Struve
165017001750180020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

24 (60%)
KO/TKO
8 (29%)
4 (10%)
Submission
18 (64%)
12 (30%)
Decision
2 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Volkov75%
Stefan Struve 25%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Volkov a 75% favorite over Stefan Struve in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Alexander Volkov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1829 to 1663, a 166-point edge.

Alexander Volkov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Stefan Struve enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexander Volkov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Stefan Struve 93%.

Alexander Volkov and Stefan Struve share 2 common opponents: Tai Tuivasa and Marcin Tybura.

Stefan Struve carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinSubmission · 2023
Tai Tuivasa
LossKO · 2020
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021
Marcin Tybura
LossDEC · 2018