Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Volkov vs Stefan Struve

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

40-11-0Record29-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height7'0"
80"Reach84,5"
258 lbsWeight265 lbs
Strela TeamTeamTeam Schrijber

What's at stake

Alexander Volkov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Stefan Struve carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexander VolkovNow 1830
If they win+7→ 1837
If they lose-17→ 1813
Stefan StruveNow 1664
If they win+17→ 1681
If they lose-7→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1748 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.78
Sig. strikes / min
3.12
58%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.04
54%
Strike defense
47%
0.57
Takedown avg.
0.56
67%
Takedown accuracy
47%
69%
Takedown defense
56%
0.23
Submission avg.
1.68

Trajectory

Alexander VolkovStefan Struve
1650170017501800185020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

24 (60%)
KO/TKO
8 (29%)
4 (10%)
Submission
18 (64%)
12 (30%)
Decision
2 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Volkov84%
Stefan Struve 16%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Volkov a 84% favorite over Stefan Struve in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Alexander Volkov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1664, a 166-point edge.

Alexander Volkov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Stefan Struve enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexander Volkov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Stefan Struve 93%.

Alexander Volkov and Stefan Struve share 2 common opponents: Tai Tuivasa and Marcin Tybura.

Stefan Struve carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinSubmission · 2023
Tai Tuivasa
LossKO · 2020
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021
Marcin Tybura
LossDEC · 2018