Alexander Volkov vs Tai Tuivasa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
40-11-0Record14-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'2"
80"Reach75"
258 lbsWeight265 lbs
What's at stake
Alexander Volkov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Tai Tuivasa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+5→ 1835
If they lose-19→ 1811
If they win+25→ 1636
If they lose-7→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1748 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander VolkovTai Tuivasa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Volkov76%
Tai Tuivasa 24%Elo baseline: 78%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Volkov a 76% favorite over Tai Tuivasa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).
Alexander Volkov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1611, a 219-point edge.
Alexander Volkov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Tai Tuivasa enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Alexander Volkov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Tai Tuivasa 93%.
Alexander Volkov and Tai Tuivasa share 4 common opponents: Ciryl Gane, Sergei Pavlovich, Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Marcin Tybura.
Alexander Volkov carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.