Alexander Volkov vs Timothy Johnson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
40-11-0Record18-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'3"
80"Reach77.50
258 lbsWeight266 lbs
Strela TeamTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Alexander Volkov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Timothy Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+5→ 1835
If they lose-19→ 1811
If they win+39→ 1625
If they lose-9→ 1577
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1748 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander VolkovTimothy Johnson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Volkov79%
Timothy Johnson 21%Elo baseline: 80%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Volkov a 79% favorite over Timothy Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (80%).
Alexander Volkov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1586, a 244-point edge.
Alexander Volkov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alexander Volkov finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Timothy Johnson 72%.
Alexander Volkov and Timothy Johnson share 1 common opponent: Marcin Tybura.
Alexander Volkov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.