Alexander Yakovlev vs Demian Maia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-13-1Record28-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
K Dojo Warrior TribeTeamDemian Maia Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Demian Maia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Alexander Yakovlev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1633
If they lose-7→ 1609
If they win+7→ 1781
If they lose-17→ 1757
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1768 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander YakovlevDemian Maia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Demian Maia81%
Alexander Yakovlev 19%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Demian Maia a 81% favorite over Alexander Yakovlev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Demian Maia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1774 to 1616, a 158-point edge.
Alexander Yakovlev enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Demian Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alexander Yakovlev finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Demian Maia 61%.
Alexander Yakovlev and Demian Maia share 1 common opponent: Kamaru Usman.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.