Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Yakovlev vs Gamid Khizriev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-13-1Record7-0-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'11"
74,0"Reach69"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander YakovlevNow 1621
If they win+12→ 1633
If they lose-12→ 1609
Gamid KhizrievNow 1622
If they win+24→ 1646
If they lose-24→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.74
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
1.66
Takedown avg.
TBD
35%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
72%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.15
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Alexander YakovlevGamid Khizriev
155016001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (36%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
9 (36%)
Submission
5 (71%)
7 (28%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Gamid Khizriev60%
Alexander Yakovlev 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gamid Khizriev a 60% favorite over Alexander Yakovlev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1622), separated by just 1 points.

Alexander Yakovlev enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Gamid Khizriev enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Alexander Yakovlev finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Gamid Khizriev 86%.

Alexander Yakovlev carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.