Alexander Yakovlev vs George Sullivan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-13-1Record19-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74,0"Reach73,5"
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
K Dojo Warrior Tribe· 1646 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamPellegrino MMA
What's at stake
George Sullivan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alexander Yakovlev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1644
If they lose-11→ 1620
If they win+11→ 1658
If they lose-13→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexander YakovlevGeorge Sullivan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Yakovlev65%
George Sullivan 35%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Yakovlev a 65% favorite over George Sullivan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans George Sullivan's way (48%).
George Sullivan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1647 to 1631, a 16-point edge.
Alexander Yakovlev enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
George Sullivan enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alexander Yakovlev finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, George Sullivan 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.