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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Yakovlev vs Gray Maynard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Gray Maynard
us

Gray Maynard

“The Bully”

13-7-1FeatherweightUFC

1619Solid

Tale of the tape

25-13-1Record13-7-1
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'1"Height5'8"
74,0"Reach70,0"
170 lbsWeight145 lbs
K Dojo Warrior Tribe· 1646 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1639 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander YakovlevNow 1632
If they win+12→ 1644
If they lose-12→ 1620
Gray MaynardNow 1619
If they win+17→ 1636
If they lose-15→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.74
Sig. strikes / min
1.92
47%
Strike accuracy
33%
2.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.64
59%
Strike defense
67%
1.66
Takedown avg.
2.91
35%
Takedown accuracy
48%
72%
Takedown defense
81%
0.15
Submission avg.
0.70

Trajectory

Alexander YakovlevGray Maynard
160016502017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

9 (36%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
9 (36%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (28%)
Decision
11 (85%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Yakovlev62%
Gray Maynard 38%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Yakovlev a 62% favorite over Gray Maynard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1619), separated by just 13 points.

Alexander Yakovlev enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alexander Yakovlev finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Gray Maynard 15%.

Alexander Yakovlev carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.