Alexander Yakovlev vs Gray Maynard
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-13-1Record13-7-1
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'1"Height5'8"
74,0"Reach70,0"
170 lbsWeight145 lbs
K Dojo Warrior TribeTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1628
If they lose-12→ 1604
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander YakovlevGray Maynard
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gray Maynard54%
Alexander Yakovlev 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gray Maynard a 54% favorite over Alexander Yakovlev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1618), separated by just 2 points.
Alexander Yakovlev enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alexander Yakovlev finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Gray Maynard 15%.
Alexander Yakovlev carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.