Alexander Yakovlev vs Joe Giannetti
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-13-1Record16-5-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74,0"Reach42,0"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1633
If they lose-12→ 1609
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander YakovlevJoe Giannetti
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joe Giannetti70%
Alexander Yakovlev 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joe Giannetti a 70% favorite over Alexander Yakovlev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Yakovlev's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1619), separated by just 2 points.
Alexander Yakovlev enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alexander Yakovlev finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Joe Giannetti 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.