Alexander Yakovlev vs Kamaru Usman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-13-1Record21-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74,0"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
K Dojo Warrior TribeTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Kamaru Usman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Alexander Yakovlev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1634
If they lose-6→ 1610
If they win+6→ 1828
If they lose-18→ 1804
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1799 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander YakovlevKamaru Usman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kamaru Usman84%
Alexander Yakovlev 16%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Kamaru Usman a 84% favorite over Alexander Yakovlev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Kamaru Usman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1822 to 1616, a 206-point edge.
Alexander Yakovlev enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alexander Yakovlev finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Kamaru Usman 48%.
Kamaru Usman carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.