Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Yakovlev vs Maheshate Hayisaer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-13-1Record11-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74,0"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
K Dojo Warrior TribeTeamEnbo Fight Club· 1685 avg Elo · 9 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander YakovlevNow 1621
If they win+12→ 1633
If they lose-12→ 1609
Maheshate HayisaerNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.74
Sig. strikes / min
3.96
47%
Strike accuracy
31%
2.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.96
59%
Strike defense
52%
1.66
Takedown avg.
0
35%
Takedown accuracy
0%
72%
Takedown defense
47%
0.15
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexander YakovlevMaheshate Hayisaer
16001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (36%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
9 (36%)
Submission
1 (9%)
7 (28%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Maheshate Hayisaer70%
Alexander Yakovlev 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Maheshate Hayisaer a 70% favorite over Alexander Yakovlev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1631), separated by just 10 points.

Alexander Yakovlev enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Alexander Yakovlev finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Maheshate Hayisaer 55%.

Alexander Yakovlev carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.