Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Yakovlev vs Maheshate Hayisaer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-13-1Record10-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74,0"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
K Dojo Warrior TribeTeamEnbo Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander YakovlevNow 1616
If they win+12→ 1628
If they lose-12→ 1604
Maheshate HayisaerNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.74
Sig. strikes / min
3.86
47%
Strike accuracy
29%
2.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.64
59%
Strike defense
54%
1.66
Takedown avg.
0
35%
Takedown accuracy
0%
72%
Takedown defense
45%
0.15
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexander YakovlevMaheshate Hayisaer
1600165020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (36%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
9 (36%)
Submission
1 (10%)
7 (28%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Maheshate Hayisaer70%
Alexander Yakovlev 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Maheshate Hayisaer a 70% favorite over Alexander Yakovlev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1618), separated by just 2 points.

Alexander Yakovlev enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Maheshate Hayisaer enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexander Yakovlev finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Maheshate Hayisaer 50%.

Alexander Yakovlev carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.