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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Yakovlev vs Nico Musoke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

25-13-1Record16-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74,0"Reach75.00
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
K Dojo Warrior Tribe· 1646 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAllstars Training Center· 1671 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

Alexander Yakovlev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Nico Musoke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexander YakovlevNow 1632
If they win+9→ 1641
If they lose-15→ 1617
Nico MusokeNow 1558
If they win+19→ 1577
If they lose-13→ 1545

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.74
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
47%
Strike accuracy
36%
2.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.80
59%
Strike defense
58%
1.66
Takedown avg.
1.16
35%
Takedown accuracy
19%
72%
Takedown defense
82%
0.15
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Alexander YakovlevNico Musoke
1500155016001650201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

9 (36%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
9 (36%)
Submission
5 (31%)
7 (28%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Yakovlev73%
Nico Musoke 27%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Yakovlev a 73% favorite over Nico Musoke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Alexander Yakovlev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1632 to 1558, a 74-point edge.

Alexander Yakovlev enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Nico Musoke enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alexander Yakovlev finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Nico Musoke 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.