Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Yakovlev vs Nico Musoke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

25-13-1Record16-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74,0"Reach75.00
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
K Dojo Warrior TribeTeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

Alexander Yakovlev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Nico Musoke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexander YakovlevNow 1616
If they win+10→ 1626
If they lose-14→ 1602
Nico MusokeNow 1561
If they win+19→ 1580
If they lose-13→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.74
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
47%
Strike accuracy
36%
2.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.80
59%
Strike defense
58%
1.66
Takedown avg.
1.16
35%
Takedown accuracy
19%
72%
Takedown defense
82%
0.15
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Alexander YakovlevNico Musoke
1500155016001650201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

9 (36%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
9 (36%)
Submission
5 (31%)
7 (28%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Nico Musoke58%
Alexander Yakovlev 42%Elo baseline: 42%

The Combat Edge model makes Nico Musoke a 58% favorite over Alexander Yakovlev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexander Yakovlev's way (42%).

Alexander Yakovlev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1616 to 1561, a 55-point edge.

Alexander Yakovlev enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Nico Musoke enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alexander Yakovlev finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Nico Musoke 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.