Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Yakovlev vs Zak Cummings

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

25-13-1Record25-7-0
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight205 lbs
K Dojo Warrior TribeTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Zak Cummings is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Alexander Yakovlev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexander YakovlevNow 1616
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-8→ 1608
Zak CummingsNow 1739
If they win+8→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1723

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.74
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
47%
Strike accuracy
36%
2.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.91
59%
Strike defense
55%
1.66
Takedown avg.
0.62
35%
Takedown accuracy
28%
72%
Takedown defense
67%
0.15
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Alexander YakovlevZak Cummings
1600165017001750202120222023

Win method breakdown

9 (36%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
9 (36%)
Submission
12 (48%)
7 (28%)
Decision
7 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Zak Cummings78%
Alexander Yakovlev 22%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Zak Cummings a 78% favorite over Alexander Yakovlev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Zak Cummings holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1739 to 1616, a 123-point edge.

Alexander Yakovlev enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Zak Cummings enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alexander Yakovlev finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Zak Cummings 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.