Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexandr Romanov vs Blagoy Ivanov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-3-0Record19-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'11"
75"Reach73"
261 lbsWeight258 lbs
Lion ClubTeamSK Absolute Bulgaria

What's at stake

Alexandr Romanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Blagoy Ivanov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexandr RomanovNow 1747
If they win+13→ 1760
If they lose-19→ 1728
Blagoy IvanovNow 1682
If they win+19→ 1701
If they lose-13→ 1669

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1688 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
3.25
52%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.20
54%
Strike defense
53%
4.49
Takedown avg.
0.69
55%
Takedown accuracy
40%
29%
Takedown defense
62%
0.86
Submission avg.
0.12

Trajectory

Alexandr RomanovBlagoy Ivanov
1700175020232024

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
6 (32%)
9 (50%)
Submission
6 (32%)
3 (17%)
Decision
7 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexandr Romanov73%
Blagoy Ivanov 27%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexandr Romanov a 73% favorite over Blagoy Ivanov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Alexandr Romanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1747 to 1682, a 65-point edge.

Blagoy Ivanov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alexandr Romanov finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Blagoy Ivanov 63%.

Alexandr Romanov and Blagoy Ivanov share 2 common opponents: Marcin Tybura and Marcos Rogerio de Lima.

Alexandr Romanov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision (majority) · 2022
Marcin Tybura
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
WinSubmission · 2020
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2022