Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexandr Romanov vs Chase Sherman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chase Sherman
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Chase Sherman

“The Vanilla Gorilla”

18-13-0HeavyweightOTH

1587Solid

Tale of the tape

18-3-0Record18-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
75"Reach78"
261 lbsWeight265 lbs
Lion ClubTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

Alexandr Romanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Chase Sherman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexandr RomanovNow 1747
If they win+9→ 1756
If they lose-23→ 1724
Chase ShermanNow 1587
If they win+17→ 1604
If they lose-7→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
6.04
52%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.65
54%
Strike defense
52%
4.49
Takedown avg.
0.09
55%
Takedown accuracy
50%
29%
Takedown defense
74%
0.86
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexandr RomanovChase Sherman
1600165017001750202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
17 (94%)
9 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (17%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexandr Romanov79%
Chase Sherman 21%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexandr Romanov a 79% favorite over Chase Sherman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Alexandr Romanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1747 to 1587, a 160-point edge.

Chase Sherman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexandr Romanov finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Chase Sherman 94%.

Alexandr Romanov and Chase Sherman share 1 common opponent: Jared Vanderaa.

Chase Sherman carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO/TKO · 2021
Jared Vanderaa
WinTKO · 2022