Alexandr Romanov vs Derrick Lewis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-3-0Record29-14-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
75"Reach79"
261 lbsWeight264 lbs
Lion ClubTeamMain Street Boxing & Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1763
If they lose-16→ 1731
If they win+12→ 1756
If they lose-12→ 1732
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1717 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexandr RomanovDerrick Lewis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexandr Romanov59%
Derrick Lewis 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexandr Romanov a 59% favorite over Derrick Lewis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1747 vs 1744), separated by just 3 points.
Derrick Lewis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alexandr Romanov finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Derrick Lewis 86%.
Alexandr Romanov and Derrick Lewis share 3 common opponents: Rodrigo Nascimento, Jailton Almeida and Marcos Rogerio de Lima.
Derrick Lewis carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.