Alexandr Romanov vs Evgeny Goncharov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-4-0Record24-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75"Reach-
261 lbsWeight266 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1782
If they lose-12→ 1758
If they win+12→ 1784
If they lose-12→ 1760
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexandr RomanovEvgeny Goncharov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexandr Romanov54%
Evgeny Goncharov 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexandr Romanov a 54% favorite over Evgeny Goncharov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Evgeny Goncharov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1770 vs 1772), separated by just 2 points.
Alexandr Romanov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Evgeny Goncharov enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Alexandr Romanov finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Evgeny Goncharov 42%.
Alexandr Romanov and Evgeny Goncharov share 1 common opponent: Jailton Almeida.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.