Alexandr Romanov vs Jailton Almeida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-4-0Record22-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
75"Reach79"
261 lbsWeight241 lbs
Lion ClubTeamGalpao da Luta· 1679 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Alexandr Romanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jailton Almeida carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1781
If they lose-13→ 1757
If they win+13→ 1768
If they lose-11→ 1744
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexandr RomanovJailton Almeida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jailton Almeida56%
Alexandr Romanov 44%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Jailton Almeida a 56% favorite over Alexandr Romanov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexandr Romanov's way (48%).
Alexandr Romanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1770 to 1755, a 15-point edge.
Alexandr Romanov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jailton Almeida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alexandr Romanov finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Jailton Almeida 95%.
Alexandr Romanov and Jailton Almeida share 1 common opponent: Alexander Volkov.
Jailton Almeida carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.