Alexandr Romanov vs Jailton Almeida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-3-0Record22-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
75"Reach79"
261 lbsWeight241 lbs
Lion ClubTeamGalpao da Luta· 1691 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Jailton Almeida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Alexandr Romanov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1764
If they lose-15→ 1732
If they win+15→ 1786
If they lose-17→ 1754
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1717 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexandr RomanovJailton Almeida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jailton Almeida63%
Alexandr Romanov 37%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Jailton Almeida a 63% favorite over Alexandr Romanov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Jailton Almeida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1771 to 1747, a 24-point edge.
Jailton Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alexandr Romanov finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Jailton Almeida 95%.
Alexandr Romanov and Jailton Almeida share 1 common opponent: Alexander Volkov.
Jailton Almeida carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.