Alexandr Romanov vs Juan Espino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-4-0Record10-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
75"Reach80,0"
261 lbsWeight257 lbs
Lion ClubTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Alexandr Romanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Juan Espino carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1778
If they lose-16→ 1754
If they win+21→ 1686
If they lose-11→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexandr RomanovJuan Espino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexandr Romanov86%
Juan Espino 14%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexandr Romanov a 86% favorite over Juan Espino in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Alexandr Romanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1770 to 1665, a 105-point edge.
Alexandr Romanov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alexandr Romanov finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Juan Espino 80%.
Juan Espino carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.