Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexandr Romanov vs Juan Espino

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-3-0Record10-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
75"Reach80,0"
261 lbsWeight257 lbs
Lion ClubTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Alexandr Romanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Juan Espino carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexandr RomanovNow 1747
If they win+12→ 1759
If they lose-20→ 1727
Juan EspinoNow 1666
If they win+20→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
2.38
52%
Strike accuracy
71%
2.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.95
54%
Strike defense
40%
4.49
Takedown avg.
8.93
55%
Takedown accuracy
79%
29%
Takedown defense
50%
0.86
Submission avg.
2.43

Trajectory

Alexandr RomanovJuan Espino
165017001750201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
9 (50%)
Submission
7 (70%)
3 (17%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexandr Romanov72%
Juan Espino 28%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexandr Romanov a 72% favorite over Juan Espino in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Alexandr Romanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1747 to 1666, a 81-point edge.

Alexandr Romanov finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Juan Espino 80%.

Juan Espino carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.