Alexandr Romanov vs Marcin Tybura
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-3-0Record27-12-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
75"Reach78"
261 lbsWeight247 lbs
What's at stake
Alexandr Romanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Marcin Tybura carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1761
If they lose-18→ 1729
If they win+13→ 1721
If they lose-11→ 1697
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexandr RomanovMarcin Tybura
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexandr Romanov62%
Marcin Tybura 38%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexandr Romanov a 62% favorite over Marcin Tybura in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Alexandr Romanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1747 to 1708, a 39-point edge.
Marcin Tybura enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alexandr Romanov finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Tybura 63%.
Alexandr Romanov and Marcin Tybura share 1 common opponent: Blagoy Ivanov.
Marcin Tybura carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.