Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexandr Romanov vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-3-0Record22-9-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75"Reach75"
261 lbsWeight262 lbs
Lion ClubTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Alexandr Romanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Marcos Rogerio de Lima carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexandr RomanovNow 1747
If they win+13→ 1760
If they lose-19→ 1728
Marcos Rogerio de LimaNow 1672
If they win+19→ 1691
If they lose-13→ 1659

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
3.70
52%
Strike accuracy
58%
2.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
54%
Strike defense
52%
4.49
Takedown avg.
1.40
55%
Takedown accuracy
46%
29%
Takedown defense
59%
0.86
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Alexandr RomanovMarcos Rogerio de Lima
1600165017001750202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
15 (68%)
9 (50%)
Submission
3 (14%)
3 (17%)
Decision
4 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexandr Romanov72%
Marcos Rogerio de Lima 28%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexandr Romanov a 72% favorite over Marcos Rogerio de Lima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Alexandr Romanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1747 to 1672, a 75-point edge.

Alexandr Romanov finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Rogerio de Lima 82%.

Alexandr Romanov and Marcos Rogerio de Lima share 1 common opponent: Blagoy Ivanov.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Blagoy Ivanov
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022