Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexandr Romanov vs Mario Pinto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-3-0Record12-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'5"
75"Reach79"
261 lbsWeight265 lbs
Lion ClubTeamUrban Warriors

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexandr RomanovNow 1747
If they win+16→ 1763
If they lose-16→ 1731
Mario PintoNow 1738
If they win+16→ 1754
If they lose-16→ 1722

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
3.39
52%
Strike accuracy
79%
2.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.42
54%
Strike defense
53%
4.49
Takedown avg.
2.72
55%
Takedown accuracy
60%
29%
Takedown defense
100%
0.86
Submission avg.
1.81

Trajectory

Alexandr RomanovMario Pinto
1650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
9 (50%)
Submission
1 (8%)
3 (17%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Mario Pinto70%
Alexandr Romanov 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Mario Pinto a 70% favorite over Alexandr Romanov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexandr Romanov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1747 vs 1738), separated by just 9 points.

Mario Pinto enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Alexandr Romanov finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Mario Pinto 67%.

Mario Pinto carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.