Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexandr Romanov vs Roque Martinez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-3-0Record18-9-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'10"
75"Reach72,0"
261 lbsWeight239 lbs
Lion ClubTeamSpike 22

What's at stake

Alexandr Romanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Roque Martinez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexandr RomanovNow 1747
If they win+10→ 1757
If they lose-22→ 1725
Roque MartinezNow 1606
If they win+17→ 1623
If they lose-7→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
3.28
52%
Strike accuracy
54%
2.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.90
54%
Strike defense
56%
4.49
Takedown avg.
0.38
55%
Takedown accuracy
50%
29%
Takedown defense
54%
0.86
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Alexandr RomanovRoque Martinez
1600165017001750202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
9 (50%)
Submission
4 (22%)
3 (17%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexandr Romanov78%
Roque Martinez 22%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexandr Romanov a 78% favorite over Roque Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Alexandr Romanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1747 to 1606, a 141-point edge.

Roque Martinez enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alexandr Romanov finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Roque Martinez 67%.

Alexandr Romanov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.