Alexandr Romanov vs Roque Martinez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-4-0Record18-9-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'10"
75"Reach72,0"
261 lbsWeight239 lbs
Lion ClubTeamSpike 22
What's at stake
Alexandr Romanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Roque Martinez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1777
If they lose-17→ 1753
If they win+17→ 1629
If they lose-7→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexandr RomanovRoque Martinez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexandr Romanov87%
Roque Martinez 13%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexandr Romanov a 87% favorite over Roque Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Alexandr Romanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1770 to 1612, a 158-point edge.
Alexandr Romanov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Roque Martinez enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alexandr Romanov finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Roque Martinez 67%.
Alexandr Romanov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.