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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexandr Romanov vs Stipe Miocic

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

22-4-0Record20-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
75"Reach 80"
261 lbsWeight234 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexandr RomanovNow 1770
If they win+12→ 1782
If they lose-12→ 1758
Stipe MiocicNow 1766
If they win+16→ 1782
If they lose-16→ 1750

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1805 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
4.67
52%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.01
54%
Strike defense
52%
4.49
Takedown avg.
1.74
28%
Takedown accuracy
34%
29%
Takedown defense
65%
0.86
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexandr RomanovStipe Miocic
1750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (27%)
KO/TKO
15 (75%)
13 (59%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (14%)
Decision
5 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexandr Romanov60%
Stipe Miocic 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexandr Romanov a 60% favorite over Stipe Miocic in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1770 vs 1766), separated by just 4 points.

Alexandr Romanov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Stipe Miocic enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexandr Romanov finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Stipe Miocic 75%.

Stipe Miocic carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.