AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexandr Romanov vs Tom Aspinall

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Tom Aspinall
gb-eng

Tom Aspinall

“Honey Badger”

15-3-0HeavyweightUFC

1775Great

Tale of the tape

22-4-0Record15-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'5"
75"Reach78"
261 lbsWeight251 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexandr RomanovNow 1770
If they win+12→ 1782
If they lose-12→ 1758
Tom AspinallNow 1775
If they win+16→ 1791
If they lose-16→ 1759

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1702 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.78
Sig. strikes / min
8.07
52%
Strike accuracy
67%
2.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.89
54%
Strike defense
65%
4.49
Takedown avg.
3.27
28%
Takedown accuracy
100%
29%
Takedown defense
100%
0.86
Submission avg.
1.63

Trajectory

Alexandr RomanovTom Aspinall
1700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (27%)
KO/TKO
12 (80%)
13 (59%)
Submission
3 (20%)
3 (14%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alexandr Romanov and Tom Aspinall within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1770 vs 1775), separated by just 5 points.

Alexandr Romanov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Tom Aspinall enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alexandr Romanov finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Tom Aspinall 100%.

Alexandr Romanov and Tom Aspinall share 2 common opponents: Alexander Volkov and Marcin Tybura.

Tom Aspinall carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision (majority) · 2022
Marcin Tybura
WinKO/TKO · 2023
LossKO/TKO · 2023
Alexander Volkov
WinSubmission · 2022