Alexandra Lawal vs Kristiany Carvalho
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record1-1-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'4"
TBDReachTBD
126 lbsWeight134 lbs
W4R Training Center· 1596 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamChina Team
What's at stake
Kristiany Carvalho is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Alexandra Lawal carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1483
If they lose-19→ 1435
If they win+19→ 1544
If they lose-29→ 1496
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1502 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexandra LawalKristiany Carvalho
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kristiany Carvalho87%
Alexandra Lawal 13%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Kristiany Carvalho a 87% favorite over Alexandra Lawal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Kristiany Carvalho holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1525 to 1454, a 71-point edge.
Alexandra Lawal enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.