Alexandra Lawal vs Marcos Vinicius
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record1-3-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
126 lbsWeight115 lbs
W4R Training Center· 1596 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamZe Mario Team
What's at stake
Alexandra Lawal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Marcos Vinicius carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1477
If they lose-25→ 1429
If they win+17→ 1450
If they lose-15→ 1418
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1502 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexandra LawalMarcos Vinicius
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexandra Lawal56%
Marcos Vinicius 44%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexandra Lawal a 56% favorite over Marcos Vinicius in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Alexandra Lawal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1454 to 1433, a 21-point edge.
Alexandra Lawal enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.