Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexandre Barros vs Martin Kampmann

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-12-0Record20-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Carlson Gracie TeamTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Martin Kampmann is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Alexandre Barros carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexandre BarrosNow 1595
If they win+13→ 1608
If they lose-11→ 1584
Martin KampmannNow 1634
If they win+14→ 1648
If they lose-18→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1487 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1717 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.98
Sig. strikes / min
3.22
40%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.28
37%
Strike defense
62%
1.84
Takedown avg.
1.86
50%
Takedown accuracy
41%
100%
Takedown defense
78%
0
Submission avg.
2.05

Trajectory

Alexandre BarrosMartin Kampmann
160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

12 (46%)
KO/TKO
9 (47%)
2 (8%)
Submission
6 (32%)
12 (46%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Martin Kampmann75%
Alexandre Barros 25%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Martin Kampmann a 75% favorite over Alexandre Barros in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Martin Kampmann holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1595, a 39-point edge.

Alexandre Barros enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Martin Kampmann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexandre Barros finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Martin Kampmann 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.