AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexandre Carole vs Ian Loveland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Ian Loveland
us

Ian Loveland

“The Barn Owl”

18-10-0BantamweightKOTC

1514Average

Tale of the tape

4-3-0Record18-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
US Metro Bizot· 1560 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamSports Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexandre CaroleNow 1517
If they win+24→ 1541
If they lose-24→ 1493
Ian LovelandNow 1514
If they win+16→ 1530
If they lose-16→ 1498

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.71
Not available
Strike accuracy
40%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.36
Not available
Strike defense
65%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1
Not available
Takedown accuracy
38%
Not available
Takedown defense
70%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Alexandre CaroleIan Loveland
145015001550201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
2 (50%)
Submission
7 (39%)
2 (50%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Ian Loveland60%
Alexandre Carole 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ian Loveland a 60% favorite over Alexandre Carole in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexandre Carole's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1517 vs 1514), separated by just 3 points.

Alexandre Carole finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ian Loveland 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.