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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexandre Carole vs Ruel Pañales

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-3-0Record6-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'5"
TBDReachTBD
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
US Metro Bizot· 1555 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamDyIncredible FFC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexandre CaroleNow 1517
If they win+24→ 1541
If they lose-24→ 1493
Ruel PañalesNow 1519
If they win+16→ 1535
If they lose-16→ 1503

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Alexandre CaroleRuel Pañales
1500155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
2 (50%)
Submission
2 (29%)
2 (50%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Ruel Pañales61%
Alexandre Carole 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ruel Pañales a 61% favorite over Alexandre Carole in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1517 vs 1519), separated by just 2 points.

Ruel Pañales enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexandre Carole finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ruel Pañales 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.