Alexandre Dantas vs Ryo Sakai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
0-3-0Record15-16-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
176 lbsWeight246 lbs
Black TeamTeamRanger Gym
What's at stake
Ryo Sakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Alexandre Dantas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1474
If they lose-21→ 1426
If they win+10→ 1501
If they lose-14→ 1477
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexandre DantasRyo Sakai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryo Sakai83%
Alexandre Dantas 17%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryo Sakai a 83% favorite over Alexandre Dantas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Ryo Sakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1491 to 1447, a 44-point edge.
Alexandre Dantas enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ryo Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryo Sakai 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.