Alexandre Dantas vs Yuki Kondo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-3-0Record66-40-9
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
176 lbsWeight158 lbs
Black TeamTeamPancraseism Yokohama
What's at stake
Yuki Kondo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Alexandre Dantas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1476
If they lose-19→ 1428
If they win+9→ 1534
If they lose-15→ 1510
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexandre DantasYuki Kondo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexandre Dantas54%
Yuki Kondo 46%Elo baseline: 39%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexandre Dantas a 54% favorite over Yuki Kondo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yuki Kondo's way (39%).
Yuki Kondo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1525 to 1447, a 78-point edge.
Alexandre Dantas enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Yuki Kondo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Yuki Kondo 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.