Alexandre Ferreira vs Tuco Tokkos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-0Record11-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'7"Height6'4"
TBDReach76"
204 lbsWeight205 lbs
Chute Boxe· 1678 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1607
If they lose-12→ 1583
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexandre FerreiraTuco Tokkos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tuco Tokkos70%
Alexandre Ferreira 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tuco Tokkos a 70% favorite over Alexandre Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexandre Ferreira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1595 vs 1592), separated by just 3 points.
Alexandre Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alexandre Ferreira finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Tuco Tokkos 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.