Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexandre Ferreira vs Vladimir Matyushenko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-0Record27-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'7"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
204 lbsWeight205 lbs
Chute BoxeTeamVMAT

What's at stake

Vladimir Matyushenko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Alexandre Ferreira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexandre FerreiraNow 1620
If they win+19→ 1639
If they lose-13→ 1607
Vladimir MatyushenkoNow 1684
If they win+10→ 1694
If they lose-14→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.57
Sig. strikes / min
1.95
60%
Strike accuracy
46%
8.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.98
42%
Strike defense
60%
0
Takedown avg.
2.89
0%
Takedown accuracy
40%
0%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
0.15

Trajectory

Alexandre FerreiraVladimir Matyushenko
1600165017001750201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

3 (17%)
KO/TKO
12 (44%)
14 (78%)
Submission
4 (15%)
1 (6%)
Decision
11 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Vladimir Matyushenko54%
Alexandre Ferreira 46%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Vladimir Matyushenko a 54% favorite over Alexandre Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Vladimir Matyushenko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1684 to 1620, a 64-point edge.

Alexandre Ferreira enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexandre Ferreira finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Vladimir Matyushenko 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.