Alexandre Pantoja vs Askar Askarov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-6-0Record15-1-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'5"
67"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight131 lbs
American Top TeamTeamFighting Eagle
What's at stake
Alexandre Pantoja is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Askar Askarov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1818
If they lose-14→ 1794
If they win+19→ 1763
If they lose-13→ 1731
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexandre PantojaAskar Askarov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexandre Pantoja69%
Askar Askarov 31%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexandre Pantoja a 69% favorite over Askar Askarov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Alexandre Pantoja holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1808 to 1744, a 64-point edge.
Alexandre Pantoja finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Askar Askarov 73%.
Alexandre Pantoja and Askar Askarov share 2 common opponents: Kai Kara-France and Brandon Moreno.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.