Alexandre Pantoja vs Demetrious Johnson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-7-0Record25-4-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'3"
67"Reach 66.00"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAMC Pankration
What's at stake
Demetrious Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Alexandre Pantoja carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1810
If they lose-10→ 1786
If they win+10→ 1858
If they lose-14→ 1834
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1722 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexandre PantojaDemetrious Johnson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexandre Pantoja55%
Demetrious Johnson 45%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexandre Pantoja a 55% favorite over Demetrious Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Demetrious Johnson's way (43%).
Demetrious Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1848 to 1796, a 52-point edge.
Alexandre Pantoja enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Demetrious Johnson enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alexandre Pantoja finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Demetrious Johnson 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.