Alexandre Pantoja vs Dustin Ortiz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-6-0Record20-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
67"Reach65,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamCombat Sports Academy
What's at stake
Alexandre Pantoja is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Dustin Ortiz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1816
If they lose-16→ 1792
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-8→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexandre PantojaDustin Ortiz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexandre Pantoja78%
Dustin Ortiz 22%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexandre Pantoja a 78% favorite over Dustin Ortiz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Alexandre Pantoja holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1808 to 1687, a 121-point edge.
Alexandre Pantoja finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Dustin Ortiz 65%.
Alexandre Pantoja and Dustin Ortiz share 1 common opponent: Brandon Moreno.
Alexandre Pantoja carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.