Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexandre Pantoja vs Eric Shelton

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-6-0Record18-8-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'6"
67"Reach36,5"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team Indianapolis

What's at stake

Alexandre Pantoja is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Eric Shelton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexandre PantojaNow 1808
If they win+7→ 1815
If they lose-17→ 1791
Eric SheltonNow 1652
If they win+17→ 1669
If they lose-7→ 1645

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1714 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.38
Sig. strikes / min
2.57
50%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.88
50%
Strike defense
64%
2.79
Takedown avg.
2.83
4%
Takedown accuracy
52%
69%
Takedown defense
46%
0.98
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Alexandre PantojaEric Shelton
1600170018002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (27%)
KO/TKO
4 (22%)
12 (40%)
Submission
5 (28%)
10 (33%)
Decision
9 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexandre Pantoja84%
Eric Shelton 16%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexandre Pantoja a 84% favorite over Eric Shelton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Alexandre Pantoja holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1808 to 1652, a 156-point edge.

Eric Shelton enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alexandre Pantoja finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Eric Shelton 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.