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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexandre Pantoja vs Eric Shelton

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

30-7-0Record18-8-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'6"
67"Reach36,5"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team Indianapolis

What's at stake

Alexandre Pantoja is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Eric Shelton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexandre PantojaNow 1796
If they win+7→ 1803
If they lose-17→ 1779
Eric SheltonNow 1639
If they win+17→ 1656
If they lose-7→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1722 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.54
Sig. strikes / min
2.57
51%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.88
48%
Strike defense
64%
2.82
Takedown avg.
2.83
3%
Takedown accuracy
52%
69%
Takedown defense
46%
0.88
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Alexandre PantojaEric Shelton
1650170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (27%)
KO/TKO
4 (22%)
12 (40%)
Submission
5 (28%)
10 (33%)
Decision
9 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexandre Pantoja86%
Eric Shelton 14%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexandre Pantoja a 86% favorite over Eric Shelton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Alexandre Pantoja holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1796 to 1639, a 157-point edge.

Alexandre Pantoja enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexandre Pantoja finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Eric Shelton 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.