Alexandre Pantoja vs Neil Seery
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-6-0Record16-13-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
67"Reach64,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Ryano MMA
What's at stake
Alexandre Pantoja is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Neil Seery carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+5→ 1813
If they lose-19→ 1789
If they win+19→ 1598
If they lose-5→ 1574
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexandre PantojaNeil Seery
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexandre Pantoja88%
Neil Seery 12%Elo baseline: 79%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexandre Pantoja a 88% favorite over Neil Seery in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).
Alexandre Pantoja holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1808 to 1579, a 229-point edge.
Neil Seery enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alexandre Pantoja finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Neil Seery 75%.
Alexandre Pantoja carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.