Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexandre Pantoja vs Wilson Reis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-6-0Record28-14-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'4"
67"Reach65,0"
125 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamBrazilian Jiu-Jitsu United

What's at stake

Alexandre Pantoja is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Wilson Reis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexandre PantojaNow 1808
If they win+7→ 1815
If they lose-17→ 1791
Wilson ReisNow 1652
If they win+17→ 1669
If they lose-7→ 1645

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.36
Sig. strikes / min
1.83
50%
Strike accuracy
30%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
50%
Strike defense
56%
2.80
Takedown avg.
5.15
48%
Takedown accuracy
43%
69%
Takedown defense
47%
0.98
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Alexandre PantojaWilson Reis
1650170017501800202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (27%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
12 (40%)
Submission
13 (46%)
10 (33%)
Decision
15 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexandre Pantoja92%
Wilson Reis 8%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexandre Pantoja a 92% favorite over Wilson Reis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Alexandre Pantoja holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1808 to 1652, a 156-point edge.

Wilson Reis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexandre Pantoja finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Reis 46%.

Alexandre Pantoja carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.