Alexandre Pantoja vs Wilson Reis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-7-0Record28-14-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'4"
67"Reach65,0"
125 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamBrazilian Jiu-Jitsu United
What's at stake
Alexandre Pantoja is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Wilson Reis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1803
If they lose-17→ 1779
If they win+17→ 1670
If they lose-7→ 1646
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1722 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexandre PantojaWilson Reis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexandre Pantoja84%
Wilson Reis 16%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexandre Pantoja a 84% favorite over Wilson Reis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Alexandre Pantoja holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1796 to 1653, a 143-point edge.
Alexandre Pantoja enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Wilson Reis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alexandre Pantoja finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Reis 46%.
Alexandre Pantoja carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.